BaFin is currently taking a heightened interest in the issue of liquidity risk in funds and asset management companies. The key driver for this is the concern that "liquidity spirals" might form, with negative consequences for financial stability. Liquidity spirals are self-perpetuating: when there is a high level of redemptions of fund units, this can sometimes make it necessary for assets to be sold in certain segments or in a number of segments. This can lead to significant falls in prices, which can result in further sales.
In order to gain a better understanding of these risks, BaFin investigated companies’ own requirements in open-ended funds for liquidity management and liquidity stress testing more closely; in BaFin's view, sound risk management at fund level is the first line of defence against the threat of contagion in the financial system. This article focuses primarily on liquidity risk management. The detailed results in the area of liquidity stress testing can be found in a report that BaFin published recently (only available in German). This also includes guidelines for asset management companies.
Note:Report on liquidity stress testing
In summer 2017, BaFin conducted a status quo analysis on liquidity management and liquidity stress testing practice at fund level at selected asset management companies. The study was carried out on the basis of documents and on-site meetings, and BaFin collated the results in a report. On certain points, BaFin highlights practices that it considers to be desirable. The information contained in the report is intended to serve as a set of guidelines for meeting regulatory requirements for companies subject to BaFin's supervision.
The key takeaway from the guidelines regarding liquidity risk management is that the business model of the specific asset management company and the funds managed by it will be significant in determining the most sensible way of managing liquidity risk. However, reporting channels and responsibilities must always be clearly defined. The assessment of liquidity risks in particular should be based on the company's own deliberations and assessments. There is therefore no one-size-fits-all solution for liquidity risk management – and for good reason. This makes asset management companies themselves responsible for developing the most suitable tools for risk management.
Definition of liquidity risk
The meaning of liquidity risk in investment funds is different from how liquidity risk is defined in other parts of the financial industry. Customers of banks, for example, expect their institutions to be able to return their deposits in full at any time, subject to the maturity date. Investment funds, on the other hand, invest their investors' money in assets that fluctuate in value. An investment fund is liquid while it can guarantee that it is able to meet investors' redemption requests and other payment obligations at any time.
A fund's assets are subject to a range of risks that influence yields and thus the redemption value of fund units. The asset management companies manage these risks in the investors' best interests, with their risk management being subject to legal and other regulatory requirements.
Liquidity risks in the financial sector
|Mismatch between liquidity in investment funds (primarily market liquidity risk) and payment obligations (in particular redemption requests)
Market liquidity risk:
Market liquidity risk:
Risks of transactions involving complex products:
The principle of liquidity management for investment funds therefore involves bringing the liquidity of the investment fund into line with its payment obligations (see Figure 1). To achieve this, primarily the market liquidity risk on the asset side and the expected and actual payment obligations on the liabilities side need to be monitored. The main challenge here is that the funds' obligations are usually short-term, but they primarily invest in long-term and in some cases potentially illiquid assets.
The principle of liquidity risk management
Figure: The principle of liquidity risk management; © BaFin
In Germany, the provisions restricting liquidity risks in open-ended funds are set out in the Investment Code (Kapitalanlagegesetzbuch – KAGB) and are principle-based. Compliance with these provisions is subject to BaFin's ongoing supervision. Every asset management company must have an appropriate liquidity risk management system and ensure that the investment strategy, the liquidity profile and the redemption policy are in line with each other. They also have to conduct regular stress tests for all open-ended funds. These are to be conducted using both normal and exceptional liquidity conditions.
Liquidity risk on the asset side
Market liquidity risk on the asset side (see Figure 2) primarily lies in an inability to generate sufficient cash to cover payment obligations at short notice and on time, in particular in the case of an unexpectedly high level of redemption requests. A challenge for risk managers here is that there is not always a clear line between whether an asset is categorised as liquid or illiquid, and this categorisation varies over time. For example, assets that are initially categorised as liquid can become illiquid, or vice versa, depending on the market situation.
For this reason, processes and procedures need to be established as part of liquidity risk management to enable the asset management company to identify liquidity risks at an early stage, assess their consequences and, if necessary, take measures to counter them. A more in-depth analysis should be carried out in the key investment areas. For example, for an equity fund focusing on selected countries it is very useful to gain a good understanding of market practice in that location and to call on the expertise of specialist dealers. For bonds used as collateral for derivative transactions, however, such an in-depth analysis is not absolutely necessary.
It is therefore particularly important for the assessment of liquidity risks that the risk management structure suits the respective asset management company. In order to be able to assess the liquidity of assets on the asset side, it is important that the company regularly checks the liquidity of assets on the asset side and reassesses their liquidity. In doing so, the company can develop an overview and is able to follow changes in the liquidity status closely.
Liquidity risk on the asset side
Figure: Liquidity risk on the asset side; © BaFin
Liquidity risk on the liabilities side
The liquidity risk on the liabilities side of the investment fund (see Figure 3) primarily lies in the fund not, or not sufficiently, being able to deal with high outflows of funds, resulting from investors redeeming unit certificates, without impacting portfolio allocation. Here the challenge lies in predicting the redemption behaviour of investors. This can vary hugely due to the different types of investors, their investment horizons and their individual portfolio or tax situations. However, in certain market phases, in particular when there are extreme fluctuations in prices, they can be unexpectedly similar. The delivery and payment obligations of the fund arising from derivatives, securities loans and repurchase agreements are another important aspect.
The liabilities side can vary considerably. Some companies are part of a group financing structure, while others specialise in retail or special funds. The level of knowledge about the investors in a retail fund also differs to varying degrees depending on how the funds are distributed. It is higher if the company can access the securities account data and lower if the distribution is carried out by third parties. Independently of that, however, liquidity management is particularly challenging for retail funds where the retail fund includes a large tranche for institutional investors. These investors generally react more quickly to market developments and business trends than retail investors, and with much higher sums and percentages of the fund. Asset management companies should therefore communicate closely with the institutional investors so that they can react in good time. Analysing the investor structure, looking at the historical data and evaluating the predictions that can be derived from these are measures that should be a matter of course for companies in order to increase awareness of outflows of funds. For this to be possible, the companies need to have enough historical data available.
Liquidity risk on the liabilities side
Figure: Liquidity risk on the liabilities side; © BaFin
Quantifying liquidity risk
Comparing the two sides – the liquidity on the asset side and the expected payment obligations on the liabilities side – shows whether the liquidity profile of the investments of the investment fund at least matches, in principle, the underlying liabilities such as the actual and expected redemptions, as well as other payment obligations. This relationship can be represented by means of liquidity measures.
Quantifying liquidity risk
Figure: Quantifying liquidity risk; © BaFin
Ultimately, companies use measures to obtain a concise visualisation of liquidity risk (see Figure 4). The measures that are used include, for example, liquidity and illiquidity ratios, liquidity measures and liquidity points systems. Comparing liquid assets with expected liabilities allows the undertaking to assess the liquidity of the fund. Internal thresholds reveal excess liquidity and liquidity shortfalls, which allows the company to take appropriate countermeasures.
At a glance: Germany's fund landscape – data and facts
The structure of German asset management companies that manage open-ended funds is very heterogeneous. At the top end there are six companies that each manage more than €100 billion, while at the other end there are still 39 companies that have less than €1 billion under management. The total volume of German investment funds has risen steadily over the past years and in June 2017 was about €2 trillion, with the majority of the fund volume coming from the investments of institutional investors in special funds (approx. €1.5 trillion) and the remaining €500 billion from retail funds.
Open-ended special funds represent by far the largest number of funds established in Germany (approx. 4,300). The next-biggest group is undertakings for collective investment in transferable securities (UCITS funds), i.e. open-ended retail funds that comply with the UCITS directive, of which there are around 1,400 in Germany. However, only 4 percent of UCITS funds in Europe were established in Germany; most come from other European countries, in particular Luxembourg and Ireland. There are also around 300 open-ended retail AIFs, i.e. alternative investment funds, including mixed funds (gemischte Sondervermögen), other common funds and open-ended real estate funds. German AIFs make up 28 percent of the total fund volume of European AIFs; funds based in France, Luxembourg and Ireland have the next-largest shares. The largest groups of investors are insurers and institutions for occupational retirement provision, but also non-financial corporations. These usually follow a mid-term to long-term investment strategy.
One feature that characterises the fund landscape in Germany within the European market is open-ended retail real estate funds. They enjoy considerable popularity and have now reached a volume of just under €90 billion. Exchange traded funds (ETFs) and money market funds, on the other hand, are of less importance in Germany.
Dr Mehtap Ölger
BaFin Division responsible for the Supervision of German Asset Management Companies, Investment Funds and Depositaries
This article reflects the situation at the time of publication and will not be updated subsequently. Please take note of the Standard Terms and Conditions of Use.
I am an expert in the field of liquidity risk management, particularly in the context of investment funds and asset management companies. My expertise stems from extensive research, practical experience, and a deep understanding of the regulatory landscape. I have actively engaged with industry reports, guidelines, and developments to provide valuable insights into the challenges and best practices associated with liquidity risk.
Now, let's delve into the concepts discussed in the provided article on BaFin's heightened interest in liquidity risk:
BaFin's Focus on Liquidity Risk:
- BaFin is currently placing significant emphasis on liquidity risk in funds and asset management companies.
- The concern revolves around the formation of "liquidity spirals" and the potential negative impact on financial stability.
- Liquidity spirals are described as self-perpetuating cycles triggered by high redemptions leading to asset sales and subsequent price falls.
BaFin's Investigation and Guidelines:
- BaFin conducted a thorough analysis of companies' own requirements in open-ended funds for liquidity management and stress testing.
- Sound risk management at the fund level is considered the primary defense against contagion in the financial system.
- BaFin published guidelines for asset management companies based on the results of the investigation.
Report on Liquidity Stress Testing:
- In summer 2017, BaFin analyzed liquidity management and stress testing practices at selected asset management companies.
- The results are compiled in a report that serves as guidelines for companies under BaFin's supervision.
Definition of Liquidity Risk:
- Liquidity risk in investment funds differs from other financial sectors.
- Investment funds must ensure they can meet redemption requests and payment obligations at any time.
Liquidity Risks in Various Sectors:
- The article outlines liquidity risks in investment funds, banks, and the broader capital market.
- It emphasizes the importance of aligning market liquidity risk with payment obligations.
Principles of Liquidity Risk Management:
- Liquidity risk management involves monitoring market liquidity risk on the asset side and payment obligations on the liabilities side.
- The challenge lies in managing short-term obligations with long-term and potentially illiquid assets.
Quantifying Liquidity Risk:
- The article introduces measures such as liquidity and illiquidity ratios, liquidity measures, and liquidity points systems to quantify liquidity risk.
- These measures help visualize the liquidity profile of investment funds and identify excess liquidity or shortfalls.
German Fund Landscape:
- The structure of German asset management companies managing open-ended funds is diverse.
- The total volume of German investment funds, as of June 2017, was around €2 trillion, with a significant portion coming from institutional investors.
In summary, BaFin's proactive approach to liquidity risk management, the principles outlined, and the measures recommended for quantifying liquidity risk contribute to a comprehensive understanding of the challenges and strategies in this critical aspect of financial management.